Follow my journey into the murky waters of real estate and finances. Learn as I digest information on the Canadian real estate market, Canadian tax laws, and creative financing for the Canadian investor.
7.07.2010
Steve Jobs Apple
Sent wirelessly from my BlackBerry device on the Bell network.
Envoyé sans fil par mon terminal mobile BlackBerry sur le réseau de Bell.
7.05.2010
Warren Buffet's two steps to guaranteed investment success
The first column offered advice from Benjamin Graham, the father of value investing and considered the single most influential investor of the past hundred years.
1. Bring discipline and process to investing
Warren Buffett has said about his professor "Ben Graham taught us to look at stocks as businesses, use the market’s fluctuations to your advantage and seek a margin of safety. A hundred years from now, these will still be the cornerstones of investing."
2. Seeking a margin of safety, something that Graham believed was the most important principle of investing.
The margin of safety is the gap between what you can buy a stock for and what Graham called its intrinsic or true underlying value. What the margin of safety does is give you a buffer should the company run into unanticipated problems or the market as a whole go into a decline.
3. Elements of sound investments
In Graham's view, the bigger the gap between a company’s stock price and its intrinsic value, the safer an investment and the greater the likely return.
Graham advocated seeking out companies with strong balance sheets, conservative financing, solid profit margins and strong cash flow; he was an especially strong proponent of companies that paid dividends that regularly rose.
The second column focused on the obstacles to investment success, based on insights from the field of behavioural finance:
1. Overconfidence
When it comes to long term investing success, the biggest problem stems from investors overconfidence in their investing knowledge and ability.
Many do-it-yourself investors believe that by nimbly jumping in and out of stocks, they can beat the market. Research into the records of heavy traders at a discount brokerage firm discovered was that there's an inverse correlation between the amount of trading and investor returns – the more trading you do, the lower your chances of success. And even if investors do show a paper profit, often commission costs turns that into a loss.
The researchers' conclusion: "Excessive trading is dangerous to your wealth."
2. Herding
A second trap is "herding", also known as the "lemming effect".
It's hard to stand on the sidelines while everyone around us is making money – or conversely to be in the market losing money while people we talk to are safely on the sidelines.
3. Anchoring
Anchoring makes us fixate on the price we paid, regardless of whether that price is still relevant We have a tendency to latch on to what we paid or what something was worth at its peak, even after the world has changed; some investors held Nortel all the way down, waiting for it to get back to $60 or $80.
4. Regret
Another issue is regret. Research shows that investors experience more pain when they lose money than satisfaction when they make it; that's one of the drivers of risk aversion. That's why people hang on to investments that are underwater, avoiding the pain of selling them and then when they do finally sell, they often do it all at once to get it over with.
5. "We have seen the enemy and he is us"
In a Jump Start interview earlier this spring, I talked about investors' emotional responses to market movements and the resulting tendency to buy at the top and sell at the bottom – and referred to Walt Kelly's famous line from his cartoon strip Pogo: "We have seen the enemy and he is us."
This line is equally true when it comes to behavioural finance traps. The good news is that awareness is the first step to change – and growing understanding of the behaviours that undermine investment success means advisors are better positioned to help clients avoid them going forward.
6.24.2010
Alternative view to RRSP vs TFSA article
This article was originally posted on http://my-moneytree.blogspot.com/2009/07/alternative-view-to-rrsp-vs-tfsa.html.
"It’s a very interesting concept. I like what you’ve written about the TFSA (Tax Free Savings Account). Keep in mind the idea of Inflation and the affect it has on money. If I have the choice between paying $1 of income tax today or $1 in 20 years, I would much rather pay it in 20 years. So if I get a $384 tax saving for putting in $1,000 in my RRSP today and pay $384 of income tax in 20 years when I take it out, I’ve actually paid back much less. In my mind, a person that still has any kind of debt where the interest is not tax deductible, or if the person is not on target to save enough for retirement, contribute to RRSP. In regards to the TFSA, if this person has not yet saved up enough money to pay for their child’s education, they should not put money into a TFSA other that what they like to keep in there emergency fund (usually 3 months income).
Here’s an example.
$1,000 in an RRSP will give someone with a $50,000 income a $384 tax deduction if they live in Quebec and $312 if in Ontario.
$1,000 in an RESP will give someone with the same income a $200 grant that will be added in the RESP.
$1,000 on a loan with a 5% interest rate (non tax deductible) will save them $81.70 per year ($81.70 minus $31.70 tax to pay $50)
$1,000 in a TFSA that earns 5% interest will earn $50 of interest which will save you $19.20 of income tax a year.
Hope this helps your discussion.
The best advice I can give anyone is that each situation is unique and therefore the advice for one may not be appropriate for another. That’s why everyone should have a Financial Planner with the CFP designation or Plan. Fin in Québec to help set priorities and determine the best plan of action based on their personal objectives."